Decision Logic
This page explains decision thresholds and reversibility in the Canon without prescribing workflows.
Explain how decisions advance, pause, or reverse based on evidence quality and thresholds.
- What decision thresholds are and how they are used.
- Why reversibility matters before committing resources.
- How to interpret evidence sufficiency in context.
- How decision integrity prevents premature scaling.
- Use it to interpret decision language in Book chapters.
- Use Canon pages when you need formal definitions or constraints.
- Treat thresholds as evidence gates, not timelines.
Decision Thresholds (Explanatory)
A decision threshold is the minimum evidence required to defend a specific decision. The threshold is not universal; it depends on risk, cost, and reversibility (Kahneman, 2011). The Canon defines the logic; this Book layer explains how to interpret it in practice (Steele, 2015).
Reversibility and Optionality
MCF 2.2 treats reversibility as a safeguard. If a decision is reversible, the threshold can be lower because the cost of being wrong is limited. If a decision is irreversible, the threshold must be higher because the cost of error is systemic (Taleb, 2012). Preserving optionality keeps future paths open until evidence justifies commitment.